The annual State of the Future reports in past years in Chinese version have been published by China Financial & Economic Publishing House.
1. 2006 State of the Future by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
Slelected by Future Survey as among 2006 best books on the future.
During the past decade, the annual State of the Future reports have offered unprecedented insights into the main global trends and the necessary global, regional, and national actions.
Mihaly Simai, Former UNU chair and UNU/WIDER Director
A must in foresight, an excellent tool for policymakers wanting to shape the future.
Maria Joao Rodrigues, Special Advisor to the European Commission
State of the Future shows us the importance of future thinking and long-term policymaking.
Reyes Tamez, Minister of Education, Mexico
Best money I ever spent at Ford was on the Millennium Project.
Ed Martin, former Director, Global Market Research, Ford Motor Company
I treasure very much the outcome of your laudable project…Please keep up your good works.
Fritz K. Poku, Ambassador of Ghana to the United States
Extraordinary overview of global prospects for civilization. Futures intelligence on technology, environment, governance, ethics, human and international development––what the educated person should know in the global age. Perfect input for policymaking and those interested in global change.
·15 Global Challenges – Prospects, Strategies, Insights
·4 Global Energy Scenarios for 2020, rich in detail
·State of the Future Index
·Environmental Security
·650 Annotated Scenario Sets
·Reflections on 10 years of Global Futures Research
Taible of content
1.Global Challenges - 9
2. State of the Future Index - 41
3. 2020 Global Energy Scenarios - 53
Scenario 1. Business as Usual—The Skeptic 54
Scenario 2. Environmental Backlash 66
Scenario 3. High-tech Economy—Technology Pushes Off the Limits 82
Scenario 4. Political Turmoil 98
4. Emerging Environmental Security Issues- 109
5. Reflections on the Tenth Anniversary of the State of the Future and the Millennium Project - 119
6. Sustainable Development Index and Quality and Sustainability of Life Indicators - 89
Appendix
Millennium Project Participants Demographics - 127
Acronyms and Abbreviations - 128
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2. Future Research Methodology (Version 2.0)
Editors Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
Comprehensive and internationally peer-reviewed handbook on tools and methods for forecasting and analysis of global change. Each chapter in this series gives an executive overview of each method's history, description, primary and alternative usages, strengths and weaknesses, use in combination with other methods, and speculation about future usage.
Some also contain appendixes with applications and sources for further information.
Over half of the 25 methods and series of methods presented were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to its evolution.
About 700 pages, available on CD.
All chapters are presented in an MsWord (.doc) version and a PDF version.
ISBN: 0-9722051-1-X, August 2003
Library of Congress Control Number: 2003107815
Price: $49.95 US dollars + shipping
Table of Contents
1. Introduction to the Futures Research Methods Series, Jerome C. Glenn
2. Environmental Scanning, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
3. The Delphi Method, Theodore J. Gordon
4. The Futures Wheel, Jerome C. Glenn
5. Trend Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
6. Cross-Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
7. Structural Analysis, Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat
8. The Systems Perspectives, Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer
9. Decision Modeling, The Futures Group International
10. Statistical Modeling, The Futures Group International
11. Technology Sequence Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
12. Relevance Trees and Morphological Analysis, The Futures Group International
13. Scenarios, Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International
13.5 Interactive Scenarios, Theodore J. Gordon
14. Participatory Methods, Jerome C. Glenn
15. Simulation and Games, Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro
16. Genius Forecasting, Vision, and Intuition, Jerome C. Glenn
17. Normative Forecasting, Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn
18. S&T Road Mapping, Theodore J. Gordon
19. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR), R. Geoffrey Coyle
20. Text Mining for Technology Foresight, Alan L. Porter
21. Agent Modeling (demo software), Theodore J. Gordon
22. State of the Future Index (SOFI) Method, Theodore J. Gordon
23. SOFI System, Peter Yim
24. The Multiple Perspective Concept, Harold A. Linstone
25. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning, Michel Godet
26. Causal Layered Analysis, Sohail Inayatullah
27 Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
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3. 2007 State of the Future by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
Table of Contents – Print Section
Foreword
Acknowledgments
Executive Summary - 1
1. Global Challenges - 11
2. State of the Future Index - 43
3. Education and Learning 2030 - 53
4. Emerging Environmental Security Issues- 79
Appendix
Millennium Project Participants Demographics - 93
Acronyms and Abbreviations - 96
List of Figures and Boxes - 98
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